Wednesday, April 28, 2010

Will we have electricity in 2050 if oil reserves will be null and void by the same year?

According to Encarta, oil will not be a commercial commodity by the year 2050. Apparently, we need oil to have electricity or to generate electricity. What are we going to do without electricity let alone Social Security benefits within 44 years from now? Will major blackouts occur in 44 years? Will we get really, really cold or really, really hot? How bad is it going to be in 44 years? How much has this planet changed already? How much oil have we really used already? Too much too soon? Is it too late to turn back? How real is this world going to be in 44 years? How geographically-minded are we going to have to become? Will we survive in 44 years? Do we have nonelectric options right now? Is solar power nonelectric? Will the sun power our lives like never before in 44 years? Will we retire in luxury as the sun will bathe us with its energy? Will it be a sunny day on a beach in 44 years? Or will it be not so pretty? Does oil regenerate itself if we stop taking it from the earth?Will we have electricity in 2050 if oil reserves will be null and void by the same year?
There's always hydro-electric dams in large rivers (like the columbia) that can produce electricity without oil.Will we have electricity in 2050 if oil reserves will be null and void by the same year?
If we exhaust our coal and fossil fuel resources, we will presumably turn toward an alternate fuel. Electricity can also be produced through nuclear, hydroelectric, solar, oceanic thermocline, geothermal, wind power, or similar technologies. Each has benefits and drawbacks, for example solar power is efficient and feasible in hot and dry climates only, and requires large amounts of solar cell panels. Wind power similarly only operates in areas with large amounts of wind, and some people object to the large windmills required (they are known to kill birds). Hydroelectric can only be utilized near rivers, or large bodies of water, but that resource is usually relatively nature-friendly. Nuclear power doesn't create the large amounts of wastes coal does, nor the global warming effect, however there are concerns about nuclear high level waste (HLW) and its storage. Geothermal energy produces sulfide gases, and requires the plant to be near either a natural source of heat or a geothermal well.





Personally I believe the answer lies in nuclear power. Currently the US has about 100 nuclear plants, which produce combined about 20% of the power. France generates most of its power through nuclear. Disasters like Chernobyl are extremely unlikely to be repeated, as that was due to rather faulty Russian design (their RBMK reactors were designed poorly, positive void coefficients and moderator followers on the control rods, and the containment building was noexistant) and gross human error.





Fossil fuel does indeed regenerate, but it takes many, many years for the carboniferous materials to die and become coal or oil. If we exhaust our fossil fuel resources, we will not be able to wait around for them to regenerate.
That's too many questions to ask at once. Electrical power can be generated from fuels other than oil. The could be rolling blackouts or brownouts, but I would expect more powerplant to be build to handle the load. I'm personally willing to pay more for electricity if it ensures a reliable supply.





Why would it get really cold or really hot in 44 years? If you're talking about global warming, the expected temperature change is only a few degrees this whole century.





Oil does not regenerate itself at a reasonable speed. Over a very long time, dead life forms can turn into oil.

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